Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.640727 5.208726 5.827866 6.554302 7.385093 8.307663 9.412621
2025-01-12 3.764540 4.508495 5.381172 6.485903 7.854825 9.505332 11.660942
2025-01-19 3.072863 3.855251 4.822947 6.118197 7.822076 10.008590 13.061662
2025-01-26 2.735500 3.566623 4.640966 6.148170 8.234681 11.060550 15.244915
2025-02-02 2.538820 3.423133 4.611304 6.349089 8.867312 12.448617 18.045279
2025-02-09 2.353403 3.266852 4.536251 6.462134 9.368575 13.687267 20.775097
2025-02-16 2.189373 3.119074 4.450651 6.538838 9.808939 14.867887 23.557497
2025-02-23 2.047609 2.986820 4.369620 6.605192 10.228270 16.048749 26.486362
2025-03-02 1.864030 2.774035 4.145635 6.421711 10.221225 16.528663 28.275299
2025-03-09 1.729083 2.622938 4.000845 6.345667 10.374047 17.279398 30.628311
2025-03-16 1.607446 2.481987 3.858555 6.256776 10.489580 17.968780 32.950608
2025-03-23 1.565675 2.464481 3.911809 6.499113 11.203675 19.801452 37.724860
2025-03-30 1.475235 2.362691 3.821394 6.490729 11.478282 20.880326 41.219751
2025-04-06 1.384913 2.254322 3.711207 6.436763 11.662697 21.810724 44.562403
2025-04-13 1.252196 2.064196 3.445518 6.074843 11.219967 21.448705 45.044866
2025-04-20 1.194348 1.999251 3.393814 6.105123 11.545042 22.678537 49.290112
2025-04-27 1.166498 1.984653 3.430067 6.304562 12.229126 24.741799 55.832306
2025-05-04 1.127977 1.947863 3.422443 6.416732 12.743954 26.504787 61.967244
2025-05-11 1.087371 1.904217 3.398312 6.492830 13.189117 28.168320 68.157846
2025-05-18 1.048349 1.860675 3.370761 6.558656 13.617850 29.848515 74.710394
2025-05-25 0.982420 1.762147 3.230245 6.376637 13.472712 30.150089 77.553276
2025-06-01 0.933871 1.693713 3.143701 6.301197 13.561918 31.029784 82.190674
2025-06-08 0.887380 1.626410 3.054812 6.213011 13.611864 31.817691 86.714287